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The Sustainable Society
If we are to consider a sustainable future, one thing
is very clear - we cannot live with our present levels of population,
transport, energy usage and consumption (that is, of course, the North
American/West European levels). The amount of productive land necessary
to sustain those lifestyles is 7 to 12 hectares while the per capita amount
of productive land on the planet is 1.2 hectares. But that does not mean
that a sustainable lifestyle has to be a return to the Stone Age with
people scrambling for single grains in the dirt. A properly devised society
can be more rewarding than our present ones for, although we will lose
the ability to travel halfway around the world for a holiday, we may find
that we have no desire to take that break.
Permaculture
The closest concept to the sustainable society today is 'permaculture'.
This is a term meaning 'permanent agriculture', devised by Bill Mollison
and David Holmgren in Australia in the late 1970s. What differentiates
it from other forms of green living or agriculture is the inclusion of
design in the process. It involves looking at how we can live with nature
rather than fighting it. Some of the principles are:
- Waste products are not thrown away but reused
- Buildings are designed as being part of the environment, taking into
account sunshine, wind, heat, distance to travel, etc
- Wilderness not looked upon as 'wasted' land but an essential part
of the environment
- An aim to get the maximum yield from the land without employing agrichemicals
- Building a sense of community
Sometimes this concept can include the philosophies of what I call 'New
Age Greens', people who see environmental living as a lifestyle choice.
But this can alienate the 'Pragmatic Green', the man or woman who sees
this as simply the only sustainable future for mankind. In "The
Permaculture Way", for instance, Graham Bell writes:
Dowsers have an ability to sense energy from the earth through their
bodies…It is also used by some people in discovering lines of
power in the landscape ('ley lines') and for contra-indicating some
sites as having 'bad energy'. In Chinese practice the arts of Feng-shui
relate to the appropriate placing of settlements through this technique.
This sort of thinking is best avoided in talk of sustainability. As
oil and gas decline in the future, we will have to convert millions of
non-green, matter-of-fact people to environmental thinking and lifestyles.
Apart from being scientifically unsound, New Age talk can give the impression
that sustainability is about tree hugging, folk music and sandals. The
Pragmatic Green turns to permaculture because he recognises it as the
only way that we can survive with any decent standard of living in a world
without fossil fuels. The scientific atheist is as much a part of sustainability
as the homeopathic Wiccan.
Transport
One of the most important requirements for a sustainable society is
the reduction in transportation, for things as well as human beings. Since
most transportation is achieved by fossil fuels and we will not have the
spare electrical capacity to produce hydrogen, it is clear that unnecessary
movement must be avoided. It is likely that we will return to a biological
(walking, cycling, rowing or animals) or wind (sailing ships) basis for
most transport which will limit the distance we can sensibly travel. Even
if enough oil and electricity were available to run some vehicles such
as lorries or trains, we have to remember the cost in time, energy and
money to keep the roads and rails in good condition, and the energy and
skills needed to maintain such complicated machinery. A cart is far easier
to build and repair, and a horse can cope with far rougher terrain than
the best of four-by-fours. If we can keep our telephone or radio services
going, most people will not need to travel far in the sustainable future.

Urban Farms
Two effects that are likely to come with the depletion of oil and gas
are the collapse of the economy and a decline in food production. The
first will bring large rises in unemployment and these two problems can
be tackled with the same answer - urban farms. I can imagine town councils
turning parks and wastelands into fenced-off allotments where the unemployed
could work during the day, receiving a share of the harvest in exchange.
The benefits for those working would be a sense of purpose and satisfaction
(very important when you face possible years without a job), and, of course,
extra food to supplement any financial support.
Social Units
Apart from the simple lack of fuel and vehicles, the main reason why
we will travel less is because our societies will be more local. Instead
of thinking on a national or county level, we will think on a level that
is small enough to control with our limited transportation but large enough
to supply just about all of our needs. A hierarchical system of settlements
will exist rather like the Central Place Theory. This is a
system devised by Christaller which basically states that settlements
grow on a hierarchical system. The larger the settlement, the more services
it has but the fewer of them there are. An idealised layout is shown
below.

Central Place Theory
In a society of the future, most people would live in the villages
(up to approximately 1000 people although the ideal number for human society
seems to be around 150), surrounded by farmland (natural or reclaimed)
from which they grow all or most of their food. (These are not necessarily
the present day country villages; they are just as likely to be suburbs
where gardens, parks, and unused roads and building areas are converted
to agricultural land.) These villages will have basic services such as
a bakery, pottery, machinery shop, carpenters, etc. One building in the
village would be converted into a communal hall used as a workshop, library,
school, pub, meeting place, etc.
The next up the hierarchy would be the market town,
surrounded by a number of villages/suburbs. This would still have to have
areas to grow food but, being larger, it could contain services that do
not exist in the level below. Doctors, dentists, vets, clothing manufacturers,
glassmakers, boat and cart builders, specialist traders, and so forth.
As the name suggests, it would also be the place where people would travel
every so often to sell their spare food and wares for other things.
Above this would be the town proper. The likely reason
for retaining large settlements like this would be that they held factories
and industries such as coal mining, steel works and forestry, universities
(and even centres for leisure activities). These would have another level
of government which would be necessary for defence, emergency services
and universal matters such as money.
In the present day central place theory, there are other levels, the
city and conurbation, but these will
not exist as individual entities. With so little transport and so much
growing land needed, massive areas such as London and New York will have
to break up into villages/suburbs and towns for the inhabitants to survive.
To
see an example of how such a system could be applied to a real location,
South Devon in England, visit the Sustainable
Example page.
Further Information
Ted Trainer has written much about the "Simpler
Way" and his website
contains many documents and information. |
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